Wow - so much information; so little sleep! Good thing I know shorthand!
On the first day, I attended Gary Keller's Vision Speech. It wasn't all that I wanted to hear, but I know Gary - he's a researcher. I trust what he tells me, and I trust his predictions.
Here's some of what he said. I believe you can download it all... KW agents should have gotten an email from KWRI with a link.
Gary first asked us if we see our future and present as half empty or half full. We started talking about the current recession and what everyone is calling an "economic crisis". Gary pointed out that in Japan, the symbol for crisis is a combination of two other symbols... one for danger plus one for opportunity! Isn't that interesting! He said to look at the word crises as an acronym:
C = circumstances
R = requiring
I = immediate
S = shift
I - in
S = strategy
I love that! A lot of things worked when things were going well. But now, each of us us needs to create our own STIMULUS package. Gary warned that the next 180 days will be the toughest economic days we've seen.
Our economy is an equal opportunity; unequal reward economy! This is why we must be opportunity warriors! Our conversion must be better than ever.
Sales declined 13% in 2008. The number of first time home buyers increased to 41% of home purchasers! So all the first time home buyers that got pushed out of the market in the boom are now able to get back in!
In the 4th quarter of 2008, only 6 states saw an increase in sales: Arizona, Nevada, California, Minnesota, Virginia and Florida. Everyone else decreased. (Yay Arizona!)
Mortgage rates of 2008 were about 6% and ended at 5.1% - an all time low since Freddie Mac started its mortgage survey in 1971!
Speaking of 1971, mortgage rates were 7.48%, gas was 40 cents per gallon, monthly rent was $150, postage was 8 cents, and the average sales price of a home was $25,250. Today mortgage rates are around 5.25%!!! Wow!
1 in 54 housing units filed for foreclosure in 2008. 420,000 hybrid ARMS are to reset in 2009. 45% of homes on the market in the 4th quarter of 2008 are distressed sales. In Arizona, 1 in 22 are in foreclosure!
Realogy - who owns Coldwell Banker, C-21, ERA, Better Homes and Gardens and Sothebys had a $50 million dollar loss in the 3rd quarter of 2008. Keller Williams is DEBT FREE and is outpacing the market and still growing! How great is that!
One more note on spending by age group. 45 - 54 year olds have the biggest spending power right now! Second to them are the 35 - 44 year olds!
What does all of this mean? Gary says this is your best opportunity for the biggest professional moment in your life!
More later!
Rj

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